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JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11537
Title Alternative Long-term Change Trend of Climate at Aomori City
FullText URL 006_081_084.pdf
Author Moroizumi, Toshitsugu| Sato, Yuichi| Sato, Koichi| Miura, Takeshi|
Abstract Characteristics of long-term change for air temperature, precipitation and snowfall-depth at Aomori city were analyzed with data during the 111 years, from 1886 to 1996. The typical results were as follows: (1) The increasing rate of the annual mean air temperature was 1.07℃/111 year. (2) The increasing rate of the monthly minimum air temperature was larger than that of the monthly maximum air temperature. (3) The increasing rate of the monthly air temperature was large from winter to spring, however, was not so from summer to autumn. (4) The decreasing rate of annual precipitation was 0.187 mm/year. (5) The 5-year moving average of annual snowfall-depth might indicate the existence of about 10-year period.
Keywords Air temperature precipitation snowfall-depth long-term change Aomori city
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2001-02-28
Volume volume6
Issue issue1
Start Page 81
End Page 84
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313378
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11536
Title Alternative Long-term Trend of Rainfall at Tsudaka Farm of Okayama University
FullText URL 007_107_111.pdf
Author Moroizumi, Toshitsugu| Yomota, Atsushi| Miura, Takeshi|
Abstract Characteristics of long-term change in rainfall at Tsudaka Farm of Okayama University were analyzed with data during the 20 years, from 1979 to 1998. The typical results were as follows: (1) The average of annual rainfall was 1203 mm at average, 1726 mm at maximum, and 666 mm at minimum. (2) The decreasing rate of the annual rainfall was 5.37 mm/year. (3) Trend of rainfall intensity in each rainfall duration showed an increase of which rate were 0.005~0.256 mm/h/year, contrary to the annual trend. (4) Rainfall intensities in n-years probability were estimated using the maximum rainfall intensity for each rainfall duration.
Keywords Rainfall Rainfall intensity Rainfall duration Talbot formula Long-term trend Tsudaka Farm of Okayama University
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 107
End Page 111
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313813
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11533
Title Alternative Management of Rural Region in Association with Its Regionality of the Western Part of Tottori Prefecture
FullText URL 006_053_065.pdf
Author Ichiminami, Fumikazu|
Abstract In this paper the brief history, the status quo and the problem of regional management in association with its regionality were examined in Yodoe town and Mizokuchi town in the western part of Tottori Prefecture. These areas have the focus of Yonago city. Mt. Daisen and Kaike-spring have been well-known, and Tottori Flower Park recently attracts many tourists. However, agriculture also flourishes remarkably in these areas. Although Yodoe town has been celebrated for the waters and traditional umbrella, the town management recently makes the most of acorn and ancient tombs, giving emphasis to international relations and history. In Mizokuchi town the oldest legend of ogre has been investigated intently and the town management in connection with it has been proceeded. As these plannings use their histories and features peculiar to the area as a management concept, they have high originality. As a future problem, it may be necessary to built up a closer connection and coordinate each regional functions within the extensive areas.
Keywords The Western Part of Tottori Prefecture Rural Area Regionality Regional Coordination of Functions
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2001-02-28
Volume volume6
Issue issue1
Start Page 53
End Page 65
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002314021
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11530
Title Alternative Tendency of Main Sightseeing-areas based on the Number of Tourists for Some 30 Years in Okayama Prefecture
FullText URL 007_075_089.pdf
Author Ichiminami, Fumikazu|
Abstract In this paper, the tendency of the number of tourists was examined for some 30 years at several sightseeing-areas in Okayama prefecture. Recently, large-scale parks on well-known theme have been built in Japan, the management strategy of sightseeing-spots is becoming harder. However, it is important for us to understand the peculiarity of local sightseeing-areas and advertise the information on unsophisticated nature and culture linked with surrounding ecological system consistently. Sustainable management of sightseeing-areas is affected and sustained by the thought and life-style of peoples living in the adjacent areas.
Keywords Tourists Sightseeing-areas Sustainable Management Okayama Prefecture
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 75
End Page 89
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313698
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11528
Title Alternative Damage factors analysis for small embankment dams due to the Hyogoken-Nambu earthquake special to Hokudan Town
FullText URL 007_055_074.pdf
Author Fujii, Hiroaki| Kunimasa, Kana| Nanba, Akiyo| Yokomizo, Takayuki| Nishimura, Shin-ichi| Shimada, Kiyoshi| Hori, Toshio| Nishiyama, Tatsuro| Wakitani, Yoshiaki|
Abstract This study was performed to clarify which factors affected damage to take-ike (small embankment dams for irrigation in Japanese) of Hokudan Town on Awaji Island in western Japan due to Hyogoken-Nambu earthquake. Multivariate and ordinary statistical analysis were carried out using documentary data (181 damaged and 328 undamaged dams), and ordinary one was done for the results investigated in situ. The model for the multivariate analysis was created with 13 items and 94 categories for 4 groups (Location, Geology Structure, and History of Dam). As a result, the factors causing to damage for dam are (1) the nearest fault (Nojima, Mizukoshi and D2), (2) embankment volume (the larger the more), (3) angle of crest axis to epicenter (diagonal and normal), (4) distance to the nearest fault (less than 500 m), (5) distance to the epicenter (8 to 14 km which almost agree to the location of seismic intensity 7 JMA), (6) play view of dam axis (3 or 4 axes), (7) angle of crest axis to nearest fault (diagonal and normal), (8) elevation of dam site (over 100 m), (9) surface geology of dam site (non-cohesive soil), (10) era of construction (prior to 1891), and (11) soil properties of embankment (constructed of sand, smaller penetration resistance).
Keywords Earth dam earthquake damage site investigation statistical analysis case study
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 55
End Page 74
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002314039
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11526
FullText URL 006_025_034.pdf
Author Yamanishi, Yoshihiro| Tanaka, Yutaka|
Abstract In functional principal component analysis (PCA), we treat the data that consist of functions not of vectors (Ramsay and Silverman, 1997). It is an attractive methodology, because we often meet the cases where we wish to apply PCA to such data. But, to make this method widely useful, it is desirable to study advantages and disadvantages in actual applications. As alternatives to functional PCA, we may consider multivariate PCA applied to 1) original observation data, 2) sampled functional data with appropriate intervals, and 3) coefficients of basis function expansion. Theoretical and numerical comparison is made among ordinary functional PCA, penalized functional PCA and the above three multivariate PCA.
Keywords Functional data Multivariate data Principal component analysis Eigenvalue Eigenvecotor
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2001-02-28
Volume volume6
Issue issue1
Start Page 25
End Page 34
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313939
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11524
Title Alternative Speeds of travelling wave solutions in a mathematical model of some infectious disease in predator-prey system
FullText URL 006_017_023.pdf
Author Kajiwara, Tsuyoshi| Okita, Tomoki|
Abstract In this paper we construct a simple mathematical model for infectious disease in a pradator-prey system, and study the speeds of travelling wave solutions of this model. We present a method of estimation of speeds and make a numerical study about this matter.
Keywords Travelling wave Infectious disease
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2001-02-28
Volume volume6
Issue issue1
Start Page 17
End Page 23
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313731
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11521
FullText URL 007_031_038.pdf
Author Zhang, Fanghong| Tanaka, Yutaka|
Abstract Relationship has been discussed by Tanaka and Zhang(1999) between the sensitivity analyses based on influence functions and on Cook's local influence, and it has been shown that equivalent results are obtained under general conditions by these analyses in statistical modeling without/with equality constraints. However, a condition implicitly assumed in the proof in Tanaka and Zhang(1999) in the case with equality constraints does not necessarily hold. The present paper gives a complete proof without assuming the condition. Also a formula for the normal curvature is derived for the convenience of practical computation.
Keywords Local influence influence function equality constraints
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 31
End Page 38
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313336
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11519
FullText URL 007_023_029.pdf
Author Sung, JiMin| Yang, WooSung| Tanaka, Yutaka|
Abstract Analysis of covariance selection models is a useful multivariate method to analyze the covariance structure of a multivariate normal distribution. It is used to reveal cause-and-effect relationships. In the present paper we review the theory and study numerically how the stepwise procedure of covariance selection works in actual data analysis. Then we try to develop a method of influence analysis in covariance selection, and show a numerical example to illustrate the usefulness of the method of influence analysis.
Keywords Covariance Selection Local Influence Influence Function Stepwise Procedure
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 23
End Page 29
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002314018
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11516
FullText URL 006_001_010.pdf
Author Tomita, Makoto| Otake, Masanori|
Abstract In many epidemiological and medical studies, a number of cancer motralities in catagorical classification may be considered as having Poisson distribution with person-years at risk depending upon time. The cancer mortalities have been evaluated by additive or multiplicative models with regard to background and excess risks based on several covariances such as sex, age at the time of bombings, time at exposure, or ionizing radiation, cigarette smoking habits, duration of smoking habits, etc. An interest herein to examine an additive, synergistic,or antagonistic relationship between radiation exposures and cigarette smoking habits for cancer mortalities. The results revealed a highly significant antagonistic influence for cancer mortalities from all nonhematologic findings, lung and respiratory system with negative interaction between radiation exposures and cigarette smoking amounts.
Keywords Excess relative risks cancer mortalities antagonistic effects prospective studies atomic bomb survivors
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2001-02-28
Volume volume6
Issue issue1
Start Page 1
End Page 10
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313814
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11515
Title Alternative Stability analysis of mathematical models of infectious disease
FullText URL 007_017_021.pdf
Author Murase, Akiko| Sasaki, Toru| Kajiwara, Tsuyoshi|
Abstract Dynamics of infectious disease in vivo is described by coupled differential equations. Stability analysis of the complicated systems is difficult without computer calculation, while stability analysis is, in general, important to investigate qualitative behaviour of models. Liu analyzes stability of systems describing HIV dynamics in vivo with a symbolic calculation software. The same method is used for stability analysis of a mathematical model of malaria.
Keywords mathematical model infectious disease dynamics in vivo stability analysis symbolic calculation
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 17
End Page 21
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313783
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11512
FullText URL 007_007_016.pdf
Author Ishii, Hiroyuki| Ishikawa, Hirofumi| Ohga, Yukio|
Abstract We have constructed a stochastic transmission model for lymphatic filariasis caused by Wuchereria bancrofti, and have analyzed its prevalence using computer simulations. In Pondicherry, India, where Wuchereria bancrofti has been spreading, the Vector Control Research Centre has carried out an integrated vector control strategy against malaria and filariasis for five years (1981~1985) with good results reported. Our study was aimed at evaluating the effect of vector control in the context of Pondicherry, and in particular the continuous effect for the post-control period. In this paper, we have used the LYMFASIM model proposed by Plaisier et al., the carrying capacity model by Rochet and the population dynamics model by us. In the LYMFASIM model and the carrying capacity model, we have modified the quantities of parameters in order to fit the models to the parasitological, entomological and epidemiological data in Pondicherry. We have combined the improved LYMFASIM model with the other models. Through simulations of our combinated model, we have compared the prevalence rate in the human population as well as the mean number of L3-larvae in the mosquito population, with and without vector control. As a result, the simulations show that the prevalence rate would be restrained for a long time even if only a small continuous effect of the vector control remains in the post-control period. However, the mean number of L3-larvae would recovered within a short time comparatively. This is because of the differences in life spans between human and mosquito as well as the incubation periods between the adult worm in the human host and L3-larvae in the mosquito vector.
Keywords Lymphatic filariasis mathematical model Pondicherry vector control Wuchereria bancrofti
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2002-03-22
Volume volume7
Issue issue1
Start Page 7
End Page 16
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313471
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11507
Title Alternative Survey on Spatial Variability of Surface Soil Moisture and Soil Physical Properties in a Sloping Grassland Field
FullText URL 008_081_085.pdf
Author Moroizumi, Toshitsugu|
Abstract Spatial variability of surface soil moisture, bulk density, satureted hydraulic conductivity, and penetration resistance (cone index) in a sloping grassland field were surveyed. The typical results were as follows: (1) The surface soil moisture and the bulk density were normally distributed at a significant level of 0.05. (2) The surface soil moistures were higher at low area than in high and slope area. The coefficients of variation were larger at slope area. (3) The coefficients of variation for bulk density were larger at slope area than in low area. (4) The distribution of saturated hydraulic conductivity can be considered to be log-normally distributed. (5) The cone index showed the normal distribution.
Keywords Spatial variability Surface soil moisture Bulk density Saturated hydraulic conductivity Cone index
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2003-03
Volume volume8
Issue issue1
Start Page 81
End Page 85
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313346
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11505
Title Alternative Illegally Parked Bicycles around the Okayama Station - Withdrawal, Storage and Return of Them -
FullText URL 010_089_103.pdf
Author Toyoki, Yosuke| Ichiminami, Fumikazu|
Abstract In this paper, first it is investigated illegally parked bicycles around the Okayama station, withdrawal, storage and return of them. Second, there will be a questionnaire to understand citizen's consciousness and clarify how they have been grasped present condition. Furthermore, it is aimed that considering how to carry out an efficient activity for reducing number of illegally parked bicycles. The results are concluded as follows. It is much more required to strengthening in the criminal prohibition zone by applying withdrawal activities and regulations. Presumably, first it is required to change storage area in order to increase the rate of returned bicycles. Besides, it will be great improvement in rate of return, if definite proportion of area is confidentially secured on storage area near the Okayama station. Moreover, it was remarkable that a citizen was not known in detail about an illegally parked bicycle. On the other side, recognition of most of the suburbanite of Okayama-shi tends to be impervious and replied to affirm illegally parked bicycle. However, the residents who live an area near to station understood the present condition well, and they disapprove to the illegally parked bicycle. Finally, in order to improve present condition, to prevent completely and to decrease the number of illegally parked bicycles publicity work is required.
Keywords Illegally Parked Bicycle Okayama Station Storage Area Publicity Work
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2005-02-28
Volume volume10
Issue issue1
Start Page 89
End Page 103
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313985
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11504
Title Alternative The Nature of Tsuyama Region based on Changing Chief Industries
FullText URL 008_063_079.pdf
Author Ichiminami, Fumikazu|
Abstract In this paper, the nature of Tsuyama region was explained in terms of several changing features such as agricultural, industrial, commercial, and sight-seeing activities. Also, short history of mining sulfide ore at Yanahara Town was described and the population change of surrounding area was analyzed. Although the vitality of agriculture in general has gradually fallen mainly due to the decrease of number of farm household, of the rate of full-time farm household, of the area of farmland, and of the harvested area of rice, tobacco, and Japanese radish, the production of black syobean and the rate of vegetables, etc. have increased. After the highway of Chugoku line was opened to traffic, the number of industrial parks and establishments suddenly increased in and around Tsuyama City and they employed many workers. Within the industries of Tsuyama City, manufactures of genaral and electrical machineries, equipment and supplies developed, but the ones of textile mill products, apparel and other finished products made from fabrics and similar materials declined. In sight-seeing, tourists of Yunogou spa have increased in a satisfactory. Population of the municipalities except Tsuyama City have decreased since 1970 and a number of large-sized stores have come to be located in the suburbs of Tsuyama City.
Keywords Tsuyama region Tsuyama City Agriculture Industrial Park Sight-seeing City
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2003-03
Volume volume8
Issue issue1
Start Page 63
End Page 79
ISSN 1341-9099
language Japanese
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313775
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11503
FullText URL 008_053_062.pdf
Author A.M., Dewan| Nishigaki, Makoto| Komatsu, Mitsuru|
Abstract Flood becomes regular feature in riverrine Bangladesh. Every year, around 21 percent of land is flooded during monsoon season, however, in severe situation this figure shot up to more than 60 percent of total land. This paper is an attempt to analyze hydrological characteristics of two catastrophic events (1988 and 1998 flood) in the light of flood history in Bangladesh. The analysis demonstrates that the 1998 flood was more severe than the 1988 one. Moreover, the 1998 flood was also prolonged than the 1988 flood due to heavy rainfall inside and outside of the country. Finally, flood management issues in Bangladesh have been analyzed and found that structural solution to mitigate flood is not the only solution. Based on the analysis some possible mitigation options are put foward.
Keywords Flood Flood Management Danger level Peak floods Deforestation
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2003-03
Volume volume8
Issue issue1
Start Page 53
End Page 62
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313768
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11501
FullText URL 010_075_081.pdf
Author Kankam-Yeboah Kwabena| Asare Enoch B.| Gyau-Boakye, Philip| Nishigaki, Makoto|
Abstract The rapid impact assessment (RIAM), which was developed in Denmark, is a new tool for the execution of environmental impact assessments. RIAM is quite flexible, transparent and leaves a permanent record, which can be independently checked, validated or updated. RIAM has successfully been used to prioritize water resources management problems in Ghana in the order of which problems call for the most urgent attention. The priority list was easily validated and accepted to be the true reflection of the situation at a national workshop in which experts and representatives from water agencies, donor agencies, university faculties and departments, research institutes, private institutions and organizations including Non Governmental Organizations (NGOs) participated. The study has shown that RIAM, which can also be used in a developing country like Ghana, is a very useful tool in such prioritization process as has been applied in this exercise.
Keywords Water resources management problems prioritization impact indicators RIAM river basins Ghana
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2005-02-28
Volume volume10
Issue issue1
Start Page 75
End Page 81
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313917
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11499
FullText URL 010_067_074.pdf
Author Dewan Ashraf M.| Alam Md. Mahabubul| Nishigaki, Makoto|
Abstract The objective of this paper is to delineate flood prone areas and estimate damage in Greater Dhaka during the 1998 catastrophic flood using an integrated approach of GIS and remote sensing. Time series RADARSAT SAR data is acquired and used to demarcate flood boundaries for the 1998 flood event. This was accomplished by thresholding linear SAR imageries. Flood estimation demonstrated that flood areas steadily increased from early July 1998 and peaked on 25 August 1998 inundating 53% lands due to heavy monsoonal downpour and discharge from upstream points. Different thematic layers were combined with a derived flood map in order to assess flood damage for the same event. Flood damage analysis revealed that substantial damage has occurred in Greater Dhaka during the 1998 flood.
Keywords Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) flood delineation 1998 flood flood damage Greater Dhaka
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2005-02-28
Volume volume10
Issue issue1
Start Page 67
End Page 74
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313624
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11498
FullText URL 008_027_038.pdf
Author Zou, Dagang| Abe, Hirofumi|
Abstract China has achieved a remarkable economic growth in the past two decades. However, the rapid economic development has led to regional disparities between the advanced coastal regions and the other regions. Regional development planning in China has sought to achieve the redress of regional disparities as well as a high economic growth. This paper aims to examine the role of core cities in the development of Chinese regional economy and their impact on regional differentials. Following a brief review of regional development planning in China, the paper examines the role of core cities on the regional development and the trends in regional disparities using data for seven coastal provinces (Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Shandong, Hebei and Liaoning) and three municipalities (Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai) in the period 1989-1997. It shows that while the coastal regions achieved a high economic growth, the extent of regional disparities and the contributions of core cities to the reduction of economic differentials varied among provinces. The paper concludes by proposing future issues on regional development planning in China.
Keywords regional disparities core cities per capita GDP lavor productivity per capita employment
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2003-03
Volume volume8
Issue issue1
Start Page 27
End Page 38
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313409
JaLCDOI 10.18926/fest/11496
FullText URL 010_057_065.pdf
Author Dewan Ashraf M.| Alam Md. Mahabubul| Nishigaki, Makoto|
Abstract This paper is an attempt to develop a series of maps that precisely depict flood prone areas in Greater Dhaka, Bangladesh using remote sensing techniques. Multi-temporal RADARSAT SAR data were acquired and employed to delineate open water flood boundary during the floods of 1998 and 2000. Using a threshold algorithm, SAR data is segregated into water and non-water areas. The empirical threshold value was obtained by using visual interpretation technique, local knowledge of the study site and by deriving corresponding pixel values to land/water from each image. The result demonstrated that 53 percent of the study area was heavily inundated in 1998 flood which is the largest submerged area during a catastrophic scenario. In contrast, 35.32 percent area was flooded during the year 2000 which represents the area under water for a normal event. Using the reference data acquired from field visit, derived flood maps were further validated. Moderate accuracy is obtained for all flood maps, however, July 1998 image attained the highest overall accuracy (86%) in the dataset. The derived flood maps are expected to be useful to mitigate losses of lives and property from river water flooding in Greater Dhaka. Furthermore, this information would be worthwhile to develop an efficient flood disaster management system.
Keywords SAR open water flood 1998 and 2000 floods Greater Dhaka RADARSAT
Publication Title 岡山大学環境理工学部研究報告
Published Date 2005-02-28
Volume volume10
Issue issue1
Start Page 57
End Page 65
ISSN 1341-9099
language English
File Version publisher
NAID 120002313953