Relationship Between Numbers of Patients Registered and Procedures Performed at Lung Transplantation Centers in Japan

Background: Recently, there has been a dramatic increase in deceased lung transplantation (DLT) procedures performed in Japan. However, there is concern that the number of transplantations may reach the limit of capacity in some centers. The present study was conducted to analyze the relationship between the numbers of individuals registered for DLT by the Japan Organ Transplantation Network (JOT) and procedures subsequently performed at lung transplantation centers. Methods: Using a database and registry reports provided by the Japanese Society of Lung and Heart-lung Transplantation, the numbers of individuals registered in the JOT and DLT procedures performed from January 2014 to December 2023 were analyzed. Results: The number of registrations was found to be correlated with the number of DLTs, with the coefficient of determination (R2) 0.962 and slope of the regression line (X coefficient) 0.407. The facility with the greatest number of registrations, with a registration-to-transplantation ratio of 0.353, was identified as an outlier (p < 0.05) and excluded from analysis. This exclusion increased both the correlation coefficient value to 0.986 and X coefficient value to 0.461. Conclusions: The present analysis showed that the number of DLTs was well correlated with number of registrations at each of the transplantation facilities. Both registration and transplantation numbers have increased in the recent decade. The facility with the highest number of registrations showed a lower registration-to-transplantation ratio, because the increase in registrations outpaced the number of transplantations.