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ID 34117
フルテキストURL
著者
Ishikawa, Hirofumi Okayama University
Ohga, Yukio Horiba Limited
Doi, Rikuo Yokohama City University
抄録

A mathematical model for Echinococcus multilocularis transmission would be useful to estimate its prevalence and manage control strategies. We propose a mathematical model which quantitatively describes the transmission of E. multilocularis in Hokkaido, Japan. The model takes into account the influence of the dynamics of both the definitive and the intermediate host populations, which show large scale seasonal variations as they are wild animals. The simulations based on the model clarify the mechanism for the seasonal transmission of E. multilocularis quantitatively, notwithstanding a lack of seasonal prevalence data. At present, human alveolar echinococcosis is prevalent throughout the mainland of Hokkaido. The risk of being infected with alveolar echinococcosis in the human population has been investigated by analyzing the seasonal fluctuation of parasite egg dispersal in the environment, which should be necessary for planning more suitable preventive measures against E. multilocularis.

キーワード
computer simulation
echinococcus multilocularis
hokkaido
japan
transmission model
備考
Digital Object Identifer:10.1007/s00436-003-0989-0
Published with permission from the copyright holder. This is the institute's copy, as published in Parasitology Research, 2003 October, Volume 91, Issue 6, Pages 444-451.
Publisher URL:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00436-003-0989-0
Direct access to Thomson Web of Science record
Copyright © 2003 Springer-Verlag. All rights reserved.
発行日
2003-07-29
出版物タイトル
Parasitology Research
91巻
6号
開始ページ
444
終了ページ
451
資料タイプ
学術雑誌論文
言語
English
査読
有り
DOI
Web of Science KeyUT
Submission Path
microbiology_and_immunology/3